Is there a way to win more on MLB betting? Is it possible to make a living from sports betting? Yes there are. There are many ways to win more and eliminate unnecessary losing series. Before learning these special MLB betting techniques and strategies, the first thing you need to learn is not to make mistakes that shouldn’t be made.
One of the deadliest mistakes MLB baseball bettors often make is betting on the favorites. Well, there is nothing wrong with betting on favourite, as long as you are a professional bettor who really understands the game and puts a lot of effort into comparing stats before betting.
According to the statistics of the last 10 years, the favorites have lost an average of about 90 units per season. Does that indicate that blindly betting on the underdog will make you money? Of course not. If you had bet straight on losers, you would have lost about 22 units on average per season. Both were overall underdogs but obviously the underdogs lost less in MLB betting.
So what does that indicate?
The general public likes to bet on favourites, be it baseball, basketball or any other betting sport. It’s easy to know that a favorite team must win and is very likely to win, but you have to weigh those odds against the money line. The favorites have a 58% chance of winning, but they can still lose money in the long run. One of the tips I often use is to pick small favorites that can win and find decent underdog values when placing a baseball bet.
Another negative part of picking the favorite is that if you lose a heavy favourite, which happens all the time, the pressure is on to win three in a row to negate your loss on the heavy favourite. Actually, the big favorites go down more often than you might think. You can win a lot with them with lower odds. But if you’re unlucky enough to lose a few series to them, you’ll have a hard time getting your money back.
So how do you find the losers winners?
When you’re not sure who to bet on, bet on the local underdogs. It’s always good to consider the local underdog in baseball if you’re playing a divisional rival. Most division games are tough and the local dogs offer value in MLB betting. Another place to look in MLB betting is the underdog when they’re all the rage. If they are hitting the ball well recently and are still dogs, they have some value. You can also check out particular left-handed vs. right-handed matchups where one team does well and remains a dog in MLB betting.
Apart from betting on the favourite, another mistake that bettors often make is betting on the parlay. Parlay offers great attractive odds, right? If you think parlays are a smart choice, the sportsbooks that offer them are laughing at you behind their desk. Obviously, parlay betting is a much more dangerous act than any type of bet, especially when you are not good at betting on a single bet. My advice is to master your single bet, make a steady profit, and just consider playing parlay.
Avoiding these mistakes above can help you make more profit and eliminate some unnecessary losses as a whole. However, you surely know that avoiding these mistakes is not enough. To consistently win in the MLB, you need to learn some unique techniques that only apply to MLB betting, and ultimately follow winning strategies, systems, or picks with commitment and discipline.
This is one of the simple MLB betting tips. Have you ever heard of the ‘action pitcher’ and ‘listed pitcher’ option in MLB betting?
If you choose the “action pitcher” option, it simply means that your bet will be placed even if there is a change in the starting pitcher. The ‘listed launcher’ option works the other way around. Your bet will only stand if the starting pitcher listed at the time of the bet starts the game. If there is a change in starting pitchers, your bet is off. This simple technique isn’t great advice, but it can actually help eliminate some losses on each of your bets.
Another tip is to bet on the racing line. Run line bets can be tasty, but they are not a piece of cake.
Sometimes this game can seem too easy, isn’t it? You might see a perennial powerhouse with his ace taking on the Bad News Bears and their starting pitcher, Adam Lambert. Well, you’re not stupid! Instead of eating the huge chalk, you make sure there’s no way the favorite team won’t win by two or more runs and play the run line to increase your winnings. If only it were always that simple.
Experts say, however, that this may not be the best strategy when playing the run line. There is a surprisingly high number of one-run games in Major League Baseball. As of this writing, even the best teams in the league have played in a high percentage of one-run games.
You can see below for the 13 MLB teams with winning records, the winning percentage of a run they’ve been involved in. Granted, they probably weren’t favored by every single one of them, but it can still give you a decent idea of how many times the RL can beat him, even if the team wins the actual game.
* Dodgers 35% * Mets 33% * Angels 32% * Rangers 31% * Brewers 28% * Tigers 27% * Yankees 27% * Blue Jays 26% * Red Sox 26% * Cardinals 23% * Rays 23% * Phillies 22% * Reds 22% * Giants 18%
I’m not sure which is more shocking: how high some of those numbers are or the fact that the Giants have a winning record! But as you can see, even their powerhouse teams only win by more than one race, about two out of three times.
Another stat that will make you think twice before pulling the trigger on the racing lane is the total team score. If you compare the most prolific teams to the most anemic, there’s a difference of just two runs per game on the scoreboard (NYY 5.70, Sea 3.73). That means everyone in the middle averages pretty close to each other. It all makes me wonder if it would be smart to play on the other side of the running line.
Of course, you can always play the RL the opposite way by playing the underdog who now has a run and a half to work with. This can be smart at times, but it will turn your +125 game into a -140 team very quickly. Most players are greedy (like me) and enjoy taking the occasional shot at the big hit. But through my experiences, playing the team that gets the runs may not be as sexy of a date, but it will usually get turned off more often.
If you can follow these tips above and find out more on the internet or forums, you can basically have a detailed overview of how bettors usually bet and how to find leaks to reduce your probability of losing and increase your probability of winning. It is all about probability after all.
The next thing you need is to follow one or a few winning systems that have good transparent winning records.
Many bettors do not believe that there are MLB strategies and systems that magically work.
The fact is that following a good MLB betting system is the key to earning $30k or even a few more folds per year on MLB betting. The people behind the idea of betting strategies and systems spent many years of their lives researching different sports databases to look for patterns and trends that would help them find an effective betting formula. Professional and advanced bettors have to follow some MLB systems, while some prefer to pay a few hundred to thousands a year for a reputable handicap service to save time on research work.
Please note: To win consistent bets on baseball or any other sport, you must invest in a handicapper or system that uses trends, angles, experience and a proven system to produce winner after winner to generate consistent profits. “
